BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//Science Circle - ECPv6.15.13//NONSGML v1.0//EN
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
METHOD:PUBLISH
X-ORIGINAL-URL:https://sciencecircle.org
X-WR-CALDESC:Events for Science Circle
REFRESH-INTERVAL;VALUE=DURATION:PT1H
X-Robots-Tag:noindex
X-PUBLISHED-TTL:PT1H
BEGIN:VTIMEZONE
TZID:America/Los_Angeles
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:-0800
TZOFFSETTO:-0700
TZNAME:PDT
DTSTART:20210314T100000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:-0700
TZOFFSETTO:-0800
TZNAME:PST
DTSTART:20211107T090000
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:-0800
TZOFFSETTO:-0700
TZNAME:PDT
DTSTART:20220313T100000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:-0700
TZOFFSETTO:-0800
TZNAME:PST
DTSTART:20221106T090000
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:-0800
TZOFFSETTO:-0700
TZNAME:PDT
DTSTART:20230312T100000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:-0700
TZOFFSETTO:-0800
TZNAME:PST
DTSTART:20231105T090000
END:STANDARD
END:VTIMEZONE
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/Los_Angeles:20220319T100000
DTEND;TZID=America/Los_Angeles:20220319T110000
DTSTAMP:20260416T072727
CREATED:20220228T093204Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20220228T093204Z
UID:11149-1647684000-1647687600@sciencecircle.org
SUMMARY:On Expectation and Prediction of Events
DESCRIPTION:ON EXPECTATION and PREDICTION OF EVENTS \nwith PROOF THAT LARGE NUMBERS RULE eventually… \nEvery event\, and configuration of events in the Universe is something of an accident arising from RANDOM arrangements\, and secondarily\, self-organizing complexity can occur. \nBiological evolution has selected for increasingly intricate and efficient neuro-processing by which living things can fulfil basic needs required for survival \n– self-preservation by avoiding or coping effectively with harmful environment situations \n– self-sustenance by finding energy sources (nutrition)\, water\, safe shelter \n– propagation of the species by finding mates for bisexual reproduction. \n  \nOrganisms that are less competent in any of the above are LESS LIKELY to live long. It is evident that animals without abstract\, spoken language still respond to their environments intelligently\, assessing situations in making choices. Further\, animals clearly hold EXPECTATION for certain outcomes based on experiential pattern recognition – in other words\, even animals display the ability TO PLAY THE ODDS.  \nSo what would happen if random events repeated indefinitely never came to anything more than a random outcome? What would exist in a treacherously UNPREDICTABLE WORLD? \nIn other words\, what if we lived in a Universe in which EXPECTATION did not exist? \nMeaningful\, interpretable outcomes from any process would not emerge. There would be no evolution\, no PREDICTABLE quantum orbitals in the atom\, no certainty nor recognizable uncertainty\, and NO SCIENCE WITH SCIENTIFIC INTERPRETATION OF DATA would be possible. \n“As fortune would have it”\, all of us DO live in a Universe in which we can look for EXPECTATION that most processes generally do have predictable outcomes. We live in a Universe in which the CASINO ALWAYS WINS – in a sense\, \nWE LIVE IN THE CASINO UNIVERSE. \nProbability Theory is an important discipline of mathematics\, as well as Decision Theory and Game Theory. Without applied Probability Theory which is inextricably related to Statistics and evaluation of DATA\, Science would have rigour limited to verbose\, qualitative explanations of “ALTERNATIVE FACTS” and much hand waving. \nConsider the simplest model for an experiment: the toss of a fair coin (50% Heads and 50% tails outcome per toss) – the EXPECTATION of outcomes seems obvious. But WHY will the end result PROBABLY approach the intuitive EXPECTED OUTCOME more and more closely as you toss the coin again and again? \n  \n \n  \nIn this presentation\, we will draw on the work of mathematicians: Jacob Bernoulli\, Pafnuty Chebyshev\, Andrey Markov\, Andrey Kolmogorov\, and others to show under what terms we can PROVE that an EVENT REPEATED WILL PROBABLY APPROACH AN EXPECTED VALUE EVENTUALLY without which\, Science would make no sense at all.  \nRobert Hendrix\, a.k.a. Tagline \n  \n  \n  \nPresentation by Robert A. Hendrix\, M.D.    \nPrevious talks on film \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \n  \nNon-members only need to register once. \nIs this the first time you will attend a presentation with us?\nFollow this link first.
URL:https://sciencecircle.org/event/expectation-and-prediction/
LOCATION:Auditorium
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/png:https://sciencecircle.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/19-March-10-am.png
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/Los_Angeles:20220319T210000
DTEND;TZID=America/Los_Angeles:20220319T220000
DTSTAMP:20260416T072727
CREATED:20220227T091608Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20220227T092715Z
UID:11135-1647723600-1647727200@sciencecircle.org
SUMMARY:Our ideal Virtual World
DESCRIPTION:Our ideal Virtual World\n“Virtual reality promises a kind of transcendence of the limits of physical reality.” -Frank Biocca\, Taeyong Kim & Mark R. Levy.\n“VR will become something everyone wants before it becomes something everyone can afford.” -Lucky Palmer \n  \nNon-members only need to register once. \nIs this the first time you will attend a presentation with us?\nFollow this link first.
URL:https://sciencecircle.org/event/our-ideal-virtual-world/
LOCATION:Fireside
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/png:https://sciencecircle.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/East-Presentations-4.png
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR